lo yeeOn
2017-08-12 02:04:40 UTC
US and South Korea to stage huge military exercise despite North Korea
crisis
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/aug/11/north-korea-us-south-korea-huge-military-exercise
Tens of thousands of troops to take part in joint drill this month,
while Trump adds to war of words with `locked and loaded' tweet
US and South Korean militaries will go ahead with massive sea, land
and air exercises later this month, despite a spiralling situation
in which North Korea has threatened to fire missiles towards a US
Pacific territory.
The annual joint exercises, named Ulchi-Freedom Guardian, have long
been planned for 21-31 August, but now come at a time when both
Washington and Pyongyang are on heightened alert, raising the
spectre of a mishap or overreaction.
The timing is doubly concerning as it is within a timeframe in which
Pyongyang says it will be ready to fire four Hwasong-12
intermediate-range ballistic missiles toward the US-run island of
Guam, an unusually specific threat against the US.
Washington and Seoul say the exercises, involving tens of thousands
of American and South Korean troops, are a deterrent against North
Korean aggression.
In the past, the practices are believed to have included
"decapitation strikes"
Trump kept the pressure up with a tweet on Friday morning
threatening Pyongyang but indicating he wanted to avoid hostilities:
Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump
Military solutions are now fully in place,locked and loaded,should
North Korea act unwisely. Hopefully Kim Jong Un will find another
path! 4:29 AM - Aug 11, 2017
Note the words "Hopefully Kim Jong Un will find another path!"
What does Trump mean by "another path"? To me, he is talking about
North Korea's pursuit of nuclear deterrence for self-defense, which he
has said in the past that he would not allow.
But that would mean that Trump was hinting at launching a first strike
against North Korea even without the latter starting a war first -
which is a key condition for China to come to its neighbor's aid in
case of aggression.
And Trump is probably thinking that the joint-military exercise with
Japanese and South Korean forces would provide camouflage for a
surprise attack a la "decapitation". Since North Korea's hands will
be tied by Trump's "if you do anything to us" warning, it will not be
able to stop any US strike soon enough by attacking the launching
sites such as Guam, for example. [China can't help NK because it's
bound by its pledge to stay neutral if NK launches an attack first -
which would include its preemptive strike on Guam, for example.]
And China won't be able to stop the regime change, even though a
People's Daily publication claims that China would try to prevent the
US from executing its regime-changing war.
China and Russia will all be helpless. And there will be no North
Korea afterwards. And American Exceptionalism will remain intact and
unchallenged!
So, is Trump a military geniius or what?
My guess is, Trump will succeed at this phase but fail more miserably
than G W Bush did vis-a-vis the attack of Iraq, afterwards.
There will be a tremendous "day-after" mess that he can't deal with.
The Korean peninsula will be a mess and that mess will spread to the
US continent eventually just as the Libyan mess eventually spread to
Europe.
lo yeeOn
1) China's strongest effort to date with respect to the Korean crisis.
[It might sound Solomonic on paper but it will fall miserably short as
I explained above. lo yeeOn]
https://www.rt.com/news/399310-china-prevent-us-strike-nkorea/
China will prevent the US and South Korea from carrying out strikes on
North Korea and trying to overthrow the leadership there, but will
remain neutral if Pyongyang launches missiles at American targets
first, the state-run Global Times said.
The warning, delivered through an editorial in the Chinese state-run
newspaper on Thursday, comes as both the US and North Korea continue
to exchange incendiary remarks, raising the risk of overreaction or
miscalculation amid the crisis.
Beijing should make it clear that "if North Korea launches missiles
that threaten US soil first and the US retaliates, China will stay
neutral," the Global Times wrote.
But if the US and its ally South Korea take on Pyongyang and try to
"overthrow the North Korean regime and change the political pattern of
the Korean Peninsula, China will prevent them from doing so," the
paper stressed.
The widely-quoted newspaper, published by the Communist Party's
official People's Daily, also noted that the latest developments are
seen in Beijing with growing frustration and deep concern.
"If war really breaks out, the US can hardly reap any strategic
harvest and "North Korea will face unprecedented risks," the paper
cautioned. "North Korea aims to propel the US to negotiate with it,
while the US wants to put North Korea in check."
Beijing was unable "to persuade Washington or Pyongyang to back down
at this time," the Global Times said, adding it primarily pursues
peace and stability in the region. All sides involved in the crisis
should understand that "when their actions jeopardize China's
interests, China will respond with a firm hand," the government paper
explained.
China ... reiterated on Friday that all sides involved in the crisis
must "speak and act with caution" as well as build up trust rather
than "taking turns in shows of strength," according to a Foreign
Ministry statement quoted by Reuters.
2) https://www.rt.com/news/399310-china-prevent-us-strike-nkorea/
China will prevent the US and South Korea from carrying out strikes on
North Korea and trying to overthrow the leadership there, but will
remain neutral if Pyongyang launches missiles at American targets
first, the state-run Global Times said.
The warning, delivered through an editorial in the Chinese state-run
newspaper on Thursday, comes as both the US and North Korea continue
to exchange incendiary remarks, raising the risk of overreaction or
miscalculation amid the crisis.
Beijing should make it clear that "if North Korea launches missiles
that threaten US soil first and the US retaliates, China will stay
neutral," the Global Times wrote.
But if the US and its ally South Korea take on Pyongyang and try to
"overthrow the North Korean regime and change the political pattern of
the Korean Peninsula, China will prevent them from doing so," the
paper stressed.
The widely-quoted newspaper, published by the Communist Party's
official People's Daily, also noted that the latest developments are
seen in Beijing with growing frustration and deep concern.
"If war really breaks out, the US can hardly reap any strategic
harvest and "North Korea will face unprecedented risks," the paper
cautioned. "North Korea aims to propel the US to negotiate with it,
while the US wants to put North Korea in check."
Beijing was unable "to persuade Washington or Pyongyang to back down
at this time," the Global Times said, adding it primarily pursues
peace and stability in the region. All sides involved in the crisis
should understand that "when their actions jeopardize China's
interests, China will respond with a firm hand," the government paper
explained.
China ... reiterated on Friday that all sides involved in the crisis
must "speak and act with caution" as well as build up trust rather
than "taking turns in shows of strength," according to a Foreign
Ministry statement quoted by Reuters.
crisis
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/aug/11/north-korea-us-south-korea-huge-military-exercise
Tens of thousands of troops to take part in joint drill this month,
while Trump adds to war of words with `locked and loaded' tweet
US and South Korean militaries will go ahead with massive sea, land
and air exercises later this month, despite a spiralling situation
in which North Korea has threatened to fire missiles towards a US
Pacific territory.
The annual joint exercises, named Ulchi-Freedom Guardian, have long
been planned for 21-31 August, but now come at a time when both
Washington and Pyongyang are on heightened alert, raising the
spectre of a mishap or overreaction.
The timing is doubly concerning as it is within a timeframe in which
Pyongyang says it will be ready to fire four Hwasong-12
intermediate-range ballistic missiles toward the US-run island of
Guam, an unusually specific threat against the US.
Washington and Seoul say the exercises, involving tens of thousands
of American and South Korean troops, are a deterrent against North
Korean aggression.
In the past, the practices are believed to have included
"decapitation strikes"
Trump kept the pressure up with a tweet on Friday morning
threatening Pyongyang but indicating he wanted to avoid hostilities:
Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump
Military solutions are now fully in place,locked and loaded,should
North Korea act unwisely. Hopefully Kim Jong Un will find another
path! 4:29 AM - Aug 11, 2017
Note the words "Hopefully Kim Jong Un will find another path!"
What does Trump mean by "another path"? To me, he is talking about
North Korea's pursuit of nuclear deterrence for self-defense, which he
has said in the past that he would not allow.
But that would mean that Trump was hinting at launching a first strike
against North Korea even without the latter starting a war first -
which is a key condition for China to come to its neighbor's aid in
case of aggression.
And Trump is probably thinking that the joint-military exercise with
Japanese and South Korean forces would provide camouflage for a
surprise attack a la "decapitation". Since North Korea's hands will
be tied by Trump's "if you do anything to us" warning, it will not be
able to stop any US strike soon enough by attacking the launching
sites such as Guam, for example. [China can't help NK because it's
bound by its pledge to stay neutral if NK launches an attack first -
which would include its preemptive strike on Guam, for example.]
And China won't be able to stop the regime change, even though a
People's Daily publication claims that China would try to prevent the
US from executing its regime-changing war.
China and Russia will all be helpless. And there will be no North
Korea afterwards. And American Exceptionalism will remain intact and
unchallenged!
So, is Trump a military geniius or what?
My guess is, Trump will succeed at this phase but fail more miserably
than G W Bush did vis-a-vis the attack of Iraq, afterwards.
There will be a tremendous "day-after" mess that he can't deal with.
The Korean peninsula will be a mess and that mess will spread to the
US continent eventually just as the Libyan mess eventually spread to
Europe.
lo yeeOn
1) China's strongest effort to date with respect to the Korean crisis.
[It might sound Solomonic on paper but it will fall miserably short as
I explained above. lo yeeOn]
https://www.rt.com/news/399310-china-prevent-us-strike-nkorea/
China will prevent the US and South Korea from carrying out strikes on
North Korea and trying to overthrow the leadership there, but will
remain neutral if Pyongyang launches missiles at American targets
first, the state-run Global Times said.
The warning, delivered through an editorial in the Chinese state-run
newspaper on Thursday, comes as both the US and North Korea continue
to exchange incendiary remarks, raising the risk of overreaction or
miscalculation amid the crisis.
Beijing should make it clear that "if North Korea launches missiles
that threaten US soil first and the US retaliates, China will stay
neutral," the Global Times wrote.
But if the US and its ally South Korea take on Pyongyang and try to
"overthrow the North Korean regime and change the political pattern of
the Korean Peninsula, China will prevent them from doing so," the
paper stressed.
The widely-quoted newspaper, published by the Communist Party's
official People's Daily, also noted that the latest developments are
seen in Beijing with growing frustration and deep concern.
"If war really breaks out, the US can hardly reap any strategic
harvest and "North Korea will face unprecedented risks," the paper
cautioned. "North Korea aims to propel the US to negotiate with it,
while the US wants to put North Korea in check."
Beijing was unable "to persuade Washington or Pyongyang to back down
at this time," the Global Times said, adding it primarily pursues
peace and stability in the region. All sides involved in the crisis
should understand that "when their actions jeopardize China's
interests, China will respond with a firm hand," the government paper
explained.
China ... reiterated on Friday that all sides involved in the crisis
must "speak and act with caution" as well as build up trust rather
than "taking turns in shows of strength," according to a Foreign
Ministry statement quoted by Reuters.
2) https://www.rt.com/news/399310-china-prevent-us-strike-nkorea/
China will prevent the US and South Korea from carrying out strikes on
North Korea and trying to overthrow the leadership there, but will
remain neutral if Pyongyang launches missiles at American targets
first, the state-run Global Times said.
The warning, delivered through an editorial in the Chinese state-run
newspaper on Thursday, comes as both the US and North Korea continue
to exchange incendiary remarks, raising the risk of overreaction or
miscalculation amid the crisis.
Beijing should make it clear that "if North Korea launches missiles
that threaten US soil first and the US retaliates, China will stay
neutral," the Global Times wrote.
But if the US and its ally South Korea take on Pyongyang and try to
"overthrow the North Korean regime and change the political pattern of
the Korean Peninsula, China will prevent them from doing so," the
paper stressed.
The widely-quoted newspaper, published by the Communist Party's
official People's Daily, also noted that the latest developments are
seen in Beijing with growing frustration and deep concern.
"If war really breaks out, the US can hardly reap any strategic
harvest and "North Korea will face unprecedented risks," the paper
cautioned. "North Korea aims to propel the US to negotiate with it,
while the US wants to put North Korea in check."
Beijing was unable "to persuade Washington or Pyongyang to back down
at this time," the Global Times said, adding it primarily pursues
peace and stability in the region. All sides involved in the crisis
should understand that "when their actions jeopardize China's
interests, China will respond with a firm hand," the government paper
explained.
China ... reiterated on Friday that all sides involved in the crisis
must "speak and act with caution" as well as build up trust rather
than "taking turns in shows of strength," according to a Foreign
Ministry statement quoted by Reuters.